Mathematics RU

Mathematics

Probability

Every chapter of the course by topic, level and part. You can pick several topics at once — say, “Puzzles” and “Probability”.

29 The number e and the exponential The same number, 2.71828…, has been spotted in a bank, on a graph, under a hyperbola, in radioactive decay, on a circle, in a cloakroom and at a bride’s choosing of a husband. Let’s log every sighting, like a naturalist in a field diary, and find out whether it’s one number or several look-alikes. Ages 16–18 55 min 45 Combinatorics A board-game evening: dice, cards, counters, hats and guests. We’ll learn to count possibilities without listing them, and see that in a large enough crowd some order appears all by itself. Ages 11–15 45 min 47 Probability Intuition on trial: seven cases of faulty reasoning about chances, at the gaming table, in a TV studio, in a doctor’s surgery and in a courtroom. We’ll learn to compute probabilities and to recognise the traps that caught gamblers, professors and juries. Ages 16–18 50 min 48 Random variables A laboratory of chance: we throw dice and needles, drop balls onto pegs, count kicks from horses. Each law is first observed in an experiment and then proved, and we see why the average of many random numbers is hardly random at all. Years 1–2 60 min 49 Statistics Five newspaper headlines, five investigations. An average salary, a poll with a three per cent margin of error, a ‘proven’ drug, chocolate and Nobel prizes, university admissions: we learn to judge the whole from a sample without fooling ourselves. Years 1–2 55 min 50 Markov chains and information The letters of a text depend on the ones before them, the weather on yesterday’s. We’ll count this dependence as Markov did in Eugene Onegin, and measure how much information a letter carries, as Shannon did. Years 1–2 50 min 54 Measure and the Lebesgue integral How much do all the fractions in a segment weigh? The answer ‘nothing’ forced length to be defined afresh, and led to an integral that can handle the Dirichlet function, to sets that can’t be measured, to a ball from which two are assembled, and to a circle cut into a square. Year 3 and up 75 min